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A couple of Do’s and Dont’s for sports betting

Posted by on May 29, 2016

DO accept that they are going to be losses.If there weren’t uncertainty you won’t be able to make bets. There are no bookies offering odds about what time sunrise is tomorrow. If you’re going to get into this as a hobby, you need to be prepared to accept the losses. It’s just part of gambling. If you’re not prepared to lose on occasion you’re going to cause yourself a lot of emotional grief and quite possibly financial stress.

DO find a balance between the statistics and your visceral reaction, your ‘gut feeling’. Because it is an uncertainty there’s an element of going with what you feel—we all know about Beginner’s Luck—but that’s a very poor system to earn money. You will need to understand the statistics and probability of what it is you’re betting on and it’s best to be guided by data and logic. However, at the end of the day you may want to throw a little bit of that gut feeling in with the mix, for good measure.

DO learn about the gaming industry. You’ll want to learn about how casinos and bookies make their books. Also remember that odds are expressed differently in different countries (to say nothing on what is and isn’t legal!) so be prepared to spend some hours learning about the industry as much as about the sports you’re betting on.

DON’T pay money for tips. If you happen to know someone who knows someone who knows a guy who said a certain team has a chance of winning, it’s up to you to decide how much value you put on that information. However, never pay for information, because more than likely whoever is selling that information is preying on desperate gamblers who are falling behind and just need to win ‘that one big one’.

DON’T bet on your favourite team or bet against the team you hate. Of course, you’re more than welcome to do that if you think your team will win or the other team will lose, but that’s simply letting emotion get in the way of profit. You may have to bet on the team you despise or bet against your beloved team if you’re trying to turn a profit.

DON’T be drawn in by favourable odds. Odds are there for a reason and it doesn’t make sense to avoid them. If a bookie is offering huge odds, then chances are that the bookie is reasonably certain that they are going to lose. And so are you if you bet on them!

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Little Rock Trojans vs Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns Preview

Posted by on Mar 12, 2016

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns get together with the No.1-seeded Little Rock Trojans in the third round of the SBC tournament at Lakefront Arena. The game gets underway at 2:00 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 12 and will air on ES3. A couple more wins and one of these teams could be dancing in the March Madness Bracket Contest.

The Trojans were beaten by Appalachian State 69-63 in their last game. Josh Hagins was the team’s high scorer, contributing 15. The Ragin’ Cajuns, meanwhile, are coming off a 90-68 win over South Alabama in the 2. Shawn Long led the game in scoring with 34 points on 13-for-20 shooting.

Based on each team’s statistical profile, the turnover story could loom large in this showdown. Louisiana-Lafayette commits the 32nd-fewest errors in the nation (TO% of 17.7%), while Little Rock’s ball-hawking defense causes the seventh-most (opponents’ TO% of 21.6%).

The Trojans have won both contests against the Ragin’ Cajuns this season, but dropped their most recent game, a 68-64 blowout. Long was the game’s leading scorer with 34 points.

Notes

Little Rock and Louisiana-Lafayette hold winning records against the Sun Belt Conference this season. The Little Rock Trojans sit at 17-3 SU and the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns have a 13-8 record.

The Little Rock Trojans rank 87th for their offensive rating of 109.9. The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns have a defensive rating of 102.3 (ranked 49th).

With 64.5 possessions and 1.099 points per possession, the Little Rock Trojans perform worse on both metrics than the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns. Louisiana-Lafayette averages 71.9 possessions and 1.112 points per possession.

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns average an effective field goal percentage of 49.6% this season. The Little Rock Trojans have a winning 4-2 record in games where opponents have an eFG% of 49.6% or greater.

On average, the Little Rock Trojans attempt 19.0 three point field goals per game and the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns attempt 21.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, Little Rock has a dazzling 13-3 record, while Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-7.

Ranked seventh in the nation, Louisiana-Lafayette averages 41.8 rebounds per game. Little Rock ranks lower at 280th with 34.0 RPG.

Louisiana-Lafayette ranks fifth in offensive rebounding, placing it among the best in the nation. Little Rock ranks a poor 232nd in defensive rebounds.

Though Little Rock is one of the best in the country in forcing turnovers with opponents averaging a TO% of 21.6% (ranked seventh), Louisiana-Lafayette is undefeated (4-0) when its TO% is 21.6% or greater.

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Washington Wizards at Boston Celtics

Posted by on Nov 11, 2015

The Boston Celtics (1-3) and Washington Wizards (3-1) will be playing at the TD Garden. Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Friday, Nov. 6 and can be seen on CNE, WA2, C+ and C+D.

The Celtics are hoping for a better outcome after their 100-98 loss to the Pacers on Wednesday. Isaiah Thomas was the game’s leading scorer with 27 points. The Wizards, meanwhile, are coming off a 102-99 win against the Spurs on Wednesday. John Wall claimed his second double-double of the season with 17 points and 13 assists.

The Celtics are a slim two-point favorite at home against Washington. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 202 points for this matchup. The Celtics enter this game with records of 1-3 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). The Celtics are one of the best in the NBA in terms of free throw percentage, shooting an impressive .837 from the free throw line. Boston is one of the best passing teams in the league with an average of 23.8 assists per game. Crossing over to the defensive side of the court, opponents have consistently had the ball stolen by the Celtics, who rank fourth in the league in steals per game with 10.2. Boston is one of the league’s top scoring teams off turnovers with an average of 25.0 points per game.

Over on the other bench, the Wizards have 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS records. The Wizards allow very few three-pointers on defense with 7.0 given up per game.

The conference foes will be squaring off for the first time this season. In their previous head-to-head meeting, Washington came out on top, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over the last 10 meetings. With a 6-4 record, the Wizards have the advantage ATS.

Predictions: SU Winner – Bos, ATS Winner – Bos, O/U – Under

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